A fast and progressive upper level flow pattern will remain ensconced over the Capital Region through the holiday weekend. This will feature several fast moving disturbances impacting our weather, followed by a brief respite in between each one. This pattern also does not tend to be one that allows the temperatures to dip too low.
The first disturbance to pass through the region will do so through the day today. This will bring periods of rain and showers to the region through the daytime hours. As the system’s cold front passes through the region later this afternoon and evening, rain showers may mix with snow as slightly colder air is introduced to the area.
High pressure will bring a return to calmness on Thursday as another low pressure system organizes over the Texas Gulf Coast. This low pressure area is forecast to move into the Mid-Atlantic states Thursday evening, and off the southern New England coast by Friday morning. This set up looks to bring another round of snow and/or rain showers to the region to close out the work week.
We continue to monitor the potential for some snowfall over the course of the Holiday weekend. Current data suggests that the storms that would be responsible for this snowfall potential may not combine as was previously thought. Regardless, a cold front sagging slowly southward from Canada on Christmas Eve night and into Christmas morning may still bring a chance for some light snow. A white Christmas may be had after all. Stay tuned for later updates!
Below is the forecast for the Albany, Schenectady, Troy area and vicinity…
Today: Cloudy with periods of rain and showers likely. High near 45. South winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of rain is 100%.
Tonight: Rain showers likely, possibly mixing with snow from time to time before tapering off by midnight. Low near 35. Northwest winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of precipitation is 60% in the evening. Little if any snow accumulation is expected.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. High 40-45. West winds 5-10 MPH.
Thursday Night: Increasing clouds with light snow developing late at night. Low near 30. Light & variable winds. Chance of snow is 80%. A dusting to an inch of snow accumulation possible.
Friday: Snow showers mixing with and then changing to rain before tapering off by afternoon. High 35-40. Northwest winds 5-10 MPH. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little if any additional snow accumulation is expected.
Christmas Eve: Mostly sunny. High near 35 and low near 25.
Christmas Day: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of light snow. High near 35 and low near 25.
Monday: Mostly sunny. High near 40 and low near 25.