It’s officially the 4th month this year with more than 7 inches of rainfall in Cincinnati, and it’s still raining, and it will be raining through tomorrow! We’re closing in on 66 inches of precipitation for the year and we should get there today and possibly hit 67 inches before Tuesday night! This is just amazing…and we still have one month to go. Could we reach 70 inches this year? The old record was just over 58 inches and that covers more than 120 years of rainfall data in the Tri-State area.
I can’t imagine a year that could be wetter, but then some people couldn’t imagine a tornado outbreak that could surpass the Super Outbreak of 1974, yet that looks like a much smaller event after the 2011 Super Outbreak from April 25th through the 28th with more than 350 tornadoes and 346 fatalities! If we ever get more rainfall than this year, the cost in lives, property and economic losses may be rather high as a result of widespread flooding. I would like to say that it probably won’t happen in my lifetime, but I have witnessed two “Super Outbreaks” of tornadoes and I’m expecting another big one in 2012, so we can never say never when it comes to weather extremes.
The large storm creating all the rain in the Tri-State today will slowly drift northward from Tennessee across Kentucky and into Ohio tomorrow, heading into Canada on Wednesday. On that path we can expect rain through Monday afternoon and evening, with more rain overnight and into Tuesday. An additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall is possible with local flooding likely. It could be worse… They’re expecting accumulating snow in parts of Arkansas, Tennessee, Mississippi and Alabama today and tonight, and the first snowstorm of the season may hit northern Indiana, northwest Ohio and southeast Michigan tomorrow night and Wednesday with 4 to 6 inches of snow…possibly more!
The rain will mix with snow tomorrow night in the Ohio Valley with snow showers or flurries on Wednesday. Meteorological Winter starts Thursday and we’ll be turning colder on Friday with snow possible on Sunday…a perfect way to welcome the winter of 2011 – 2012.
The question I need to answer is this: What will all this rain mean over the next 3, 6, 9 or 12 months? Plants suffering from root rot? Foundations failing across the region because of extreme water pressure for so many months this year? Big economic losses (theme parks, golf courses, etc.) because of weather disruption? Psychological impacts because there were so many gray, cool days? The rain comes and goes, but the impacts may last a lot longer.
Keep Your Eyes on the Sky and Enjoy the Changing Weather!
Skyeye Weather LLC