Ahh, the mild before the cold….
It seems kind of fitting that 2011 will end in much of the nation on a relatively tranquil note. After all, this was the year that saw smashed records of every kind from inclement weather, be it brutal cold, intense heat, heavy snows, killer tornadoes, tremendous rainstorms and record wind/dust events. Temperatures ahead of a surge of bitter cold Arctic air will moderate nicely through much of the eastern two-thirds of the U.S. by New Year’s Eve. But at midnight on Saturday night, our collective weather fortunes turn into a very chilled pumpkin.
The surge of cAk values will be mainly focused to our north and east, but Houston will see a steady temperature drop after some morning shower and thunderstorm possibilities on Sunday. I suspect that we will have to deal with about four days of readings that will be well below normal. Not until next Thursday will the wind fields once again turn off of the Gulf of Mexico, allowing for a warming spell that may not last through the following weekend.
Keep in mind that what looks to be a far colder January will feature another round of Arctic air over Texas and the eastern two-thirds of the U.S. on January 7 – 11. And, if the ECMWF and GFS model ensemble packages are correct, we face an onslaught of Alaskan air, with a huge storm, around January 13.
Happy New Year! :)
Thursday: Partly sunny, breezy, and milder. Highs 71 Galveston to 75 Hempstead
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, milder with patchy fog. Lows 50 Prairie View to 54 Jamaica Beach
Holiday Weekend Forecast
Friday: Partly sunny and warmer. Highs 73 Quintana to 77 Waller
Friday Night: Partly cloudy with locally dense fog. Lows 56 Hockley to 60 Surfside Beach
Saturday, New Year’s Eve: Partly sunny and warm. Highs 74 Freeport to 78 Cypress
Saturday Night, New Year’s Eve Night: Variable cloudiness, mild with a few showers after midnight. Lows 61 Klein to 65 Clute
Sunday, New Year’s Day: A shower or thunderstorm around daybreak. Variable cloudiness, breezy and colder. Highs in the morning of 66 Fairbanks to 70 Lake Jackson
Sunday Night, New Year’s Night: Clear, windy and colder. Lows 38 Jersey Village to 42 Angleton
Monday, Legal Holiday: Sunny, windy and chilly. Highs 50 North Houston to 54 Iowa Colony
Tuesday: Sunny and chilly. High 52, Low 31
Wednesday: Sunshine fading behind increasing cloudiness late. High 53, Low 30
Thursday: Mostly sunny and warmer. High 62, Low 39